![]() Were all of them H1N1 were 1/2 of them H1N1? You don't say nor do you give a specific link to your source for the figures - you merely gave me a dozen links. How can you possibly make a death rate estimate for "unconfirmed" infected rates. ![]() "H1N1 has, so far killed 1099 out of an unconfirmed 67971 ath rate = 1.6% 1099 dead out of an confirmed 44,555.death rate = 2.4%" 1. Given the speed of the spread of this and the fact that the briefest exposure seems to be enough to spread it- I just don't think this is bull. My brother and mother came down with it after the briefest contact with me, when I thought I was coming down with my seasonal allergies. I put my hands down on the counter, and forgot to wash them. Where did I catch it? Nearest I could figure is that I caught it at a doctor's office. I myself came down with it on September 2nd- before I even thought precautions were necessary. One reported that a third of the students were sick. ![]() A few school districts in my area have suspended classes- earlier in the year than I remember any school district closing from sickness. Officials at both the CDC and the WHO have said it is spreading faster than any previous pandemic. Using up all the time and budget on all the cases they are going to have. It seemed that I agreed with you that testing for Swine Flu would "cause chaos." Read my description of what chaos might look like in that post. This is the same American Public that has been shrugs off global warming and still demands "real" proof. That being said, I really do not see what the "fear of hysteria" is here. I also don't think its bull to prepare that it could turn more dangerous, because we could always have that unlucky die role. Even if sixty million of those are mild cases. Eighty million sick with one more than a hundred thousand people dying is extremely serious. Or I'll put it like this, not without a very unlucky mutation or two. Mine is supported by the fact that if it was all to give a sop to the pharma companies, why would they be late? Why the delay on vaccine, when to me, the fact that this flu is widespread is irrefutable. Mine was, that's a very bad sign for all of us. There's no accurate way to come up with it except by statistics after-the-fact. I'm afraid we're not going to know death rate till after this is over, though. But if it infects half the population, 150 million people, it could kill hundreds of thousands and could bring the country to a standstill for a month. ![]() Indications have been that, so far, (in lieu of any mutations) it's not quite as high as the normal flu. They knew studying the virus' spread that it was, at least, the most contagious thing they had ever seen. My interpretation was that the CDC already realized that this was going to be bad, and didn't consider it to be a priority to be told that every week, and they thought the cost of testing a hundred million people for H1N1 would quickly overwhelm their budget, and the budgets of all public health departments. I remember this news, and in fact, I think I posted on that very thread. This is just a giveaway to Big PharmaceuticalsĪnd if somebody is crushed under a 5,000 pounds, you don't bring them a scale to make sure it isn't 5,500. Instead, on July 24, the Council for State and Territorial Epidemiologists, CSTE, issued the following notice to state public health officials on behalf of the CDC. CBS News learned that the decision to stop counting H1N1 flu cases was made so hastily that states weren't given the opportunity to provide input. The rationale given for the CDC guidance to forego testing and tracking individual cases was: why waste resources testing for H1N1 flu when the government has already confirmed there's an epidemic? Some public health officials privately disagreed with the decision to stop testing and counting, telling CBS News that continued tracking of this new and possibly changing virus was important because H1N1 has a different epidemiology, affects younger people more than seasonal flu and has been shown to have a higher case fatality rate than other flu virus strains. In late July, the CDC abruptly advised states to stop testing for H1N1 flu, and stopped counting individual cases. ![]()
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